COVID-19: Beginning of the End.

  • What’s happening today?
  • What can we expect & what can we do?
  • What does a good COVID-19 strategy look like?
  • How at this pace, we'll overwhelm healthcare systems around the world, in the end causing them to breakdown.
  • How we’re treating this pandemic as a short term sprint while it’s going to affect us long term.
  • How focusing on creating prevention methods (flattening the curve)will help in the short term sprint, rather than the vaccine process that will take ~1.5 years.
  • How flattening the curve of coronavirus cases, will relieve the healthcare system.
  • The amounts of death in countries if we don’t flatten the curve, in the next 18 months.

#1: What’s happening today?

(From March 8th, 2020 ~ March 20th,2020)
  • They haven’t developed the proper systems to tackle something on this magnitude (Bill agrees)
  • Developed countries can better identify the virus through testing
  • The US and Canada have imposed border restrictions for foreigners
  • The European Union has sealed all its borders to foreigners for 30 days
  • China and other Asian countries are seeing cases being brought in from abroad, and have imposed a 14-day quarantine for those that are coming back from affected countries before they can visit certain places
  • Hong Kong even wants new arrivals to wear an electronic tag, where their movements can be tracked

SARS Pandemic

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) is known as the first pandemic of the 21st century. SARS is a type of coronavirus, even though we refer to the new virus as “coronavirus”, coronavirus is used to describe a family of viruses that SARS and COVID-19 belong to. It would act the same as COVID-19, SARS was a virus that would mainly affect the respiratory system, first infecting a human in Guangdong, China (2002).

#2: What can we expect & what can we do?

Visual representation of how many times COVID has mutated in different geographic locations.

Flattening the Curve 📉

There are three main things that can help us flatten the curve sustainably:

How vaccines are created? 👨‍🔬

Of course, that’s the first thing that we would get started working on, that’s also assuming that the virus gives us enough time to develop a vaccine. Creating a vaccine isn’t something that can be created in one day, but takes on average 1.5 years. Let’s take a closer look at the process of creating a vaccine:

  1. Exploratory Stage
  2. Investigational New Drug (IND)
  3. Trials

#3: What does a good COVID-19 strategy look like?

If you want to solve anything, your must define what you want.

To progress in how we can find a solution(s) to our current problem, first, we need to define what a good solution would be.

  • Government allocates face masks to retailers and reduces the price to $10 (Jan 17th)
  • The government announced that the spread of fake news for COVID-19 can be fined up to $100,000 (Jan 22th)
  • The government declared that home isolation violators will be fined up to $10,000 USD, while home quarantine regulations will be fined up to $5,000 USD (Feb 12th)
  • If 1+ case in a class (K-9) infected with COVID-19, the class is suspended for 14 days. If 2+ cases in a school, the school is closed for 14 days.

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Valmik Rao

Valmik Rao

Just a 16-year-old trying to solve the world’s biggest problems…